It's a good sign if you see a thick aurora band with some areas of light yellow, orange or, better yet, RED on this map as opposed to just a thin (or transparent) band with only dark green. It gives a 20 to 40 minute forecast of the predicted size of the aurora along with a color-coded probability of seeing the aurora over various spots on the Earth. But keep in mind that Ovation is an average, so it changes more slowly than the more dynamic Kp forecast above. The Kp number gives nice info on how large the storm is, but the Ovation map does a better job of telling you if you can actually see it. It's helpful to get confirmation of activity with NOAA's Ovation map. Be aware though, ground based light pollution and weather will have a greater impact at these more marginal locations. You might even be in luck if you are located within next lower line, but you will have to look lower on the horizon. If you are located at or above the estimated Kp line, you are in the right spot. Now, find the Kp number line on one of the following maps that matches the Kp number predicted above. Get Aurora Alerts customized for your location. ( Refresh this page to update the above, it is updated on the server every 2 minutes) In 14 minutes, the Geomagnetic Activity level (Kp number) will be 1 - Quiet In 10 minutes, the Geomagnetic Activity level (Kp number) will be 1 - Quiet In 6 minutes, the Geomagnetic Activity level (Kp number) will be 0.67 - Quiet In 2 minutes, the Geomagnetic Activity level (Kp number) will be 1.33 - Quiet The Soft Serve News Aurora Prediction Program estimates that. Here is the prediction of storm intensity for the next few minutes (the higher the Kp number, the larger the Aurora): Here are some tools that will increase your chances. If you are out there, you need to be patient and lucky. They have stops and starts (known as sub-storms). Auroras are difficult to predict with precision.
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